PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

md9d8g

0xe061b851f70cd3940ec33b1adac8ee6ae59edcc6

Realised P&L
$-489.79
Volume
$70.7k
Markets traded
203
Open portfolio
$129.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded203
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 16? · No0.6501.000$19.99+$6.99
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 16? · No0.5001.000$19.99+$9.99
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 16? · Yes0.3500.975$18.52+$11.87
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 16? · No0.6401.000$14.99+$5.39
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 16? · No0.5301.000$11.18+$5.25
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 17? · No0.5400.460$9.20−$1.60
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 17? · Yes0.4400.415$8.30−$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on October 17? · No0.4800.410$8.20−$1.40
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 17? · No0.4800.375$7.50−$2.10
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 17? · No0.5800.325$6.50−$5.10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 17? · Yes0.4100.390$2.73−$0.14
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on October 17? · Yes0.1500.245$2.44+$0.95
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 16? · No0.5600.001$0.01−$11.19
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 16? · Yes0.3300.001$0.01−$4.61
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 16? · Yes0.3500.001$0.00−$3.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 13:49Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.318$15.90
07-28 13:49Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.677$33.85
07-09 20:16Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.51$51.00
07-09 20:04Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.4942171406$148.26
07-09 19:35Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.849$169.80
07-09 19:32Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.84$168.00
07-09 18:49Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.1252924982$74.27
07-09 15:29Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?SELL0.4$14.76
07-09 13:54Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 11?SELL0.31$24.80
07-09 11:57Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?SELL0.3272$13.09
07-09 11:54Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?SELL0.335$13.40
07-08 23:05Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.852$9.27
07-07 22:29Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.83244$83.24
07-07 22:26Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.836$83.60
07-07 22:10Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.1318181818$14.50