md9d8g
0xe061b851f70cd3940ec33b1adac8ee6ae59edcc6
- Realised P&L
- $-489.79
- Volume
- $70.7k
- Markets traded
- 203
- Open portfolio
- $129.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded203
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$298.48at 0.500Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$187.85at 0.674Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$180.10at 0.500Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$119.95at 0.158US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$113.21at 0.500Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 13:49 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.318 | $15.90 |
| 07-28 13:49 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.677 | $33.85 |
| 07-09 20:16 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 07-09 20:04 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.4942171406 | $148.26 |
| 07-09 19:35 | Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.849 | $169.80 |
| 07-09 19:32 | Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.84 | $168.00 |
| 07-09 18:49 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.1252924982 | $74.27 |
| 07-09 15:29 | Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $14.76 |
| 07-09 13:54 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 11? | SELL | 0.31 | $24.80 |
| 07-09 11:57 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? | SELL | 0.3272 | $13.09 |
| 07-09 11:54 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? | SELL | 0.335 | $13.40 |
| 07-08 23:05 | Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.852 | $9.27 |
| 07-07 22:29 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.83244 | $83.24 |
| 07-07 22:26 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.836 | $83.60 |
| 07-07 22:10 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.1318181818 | $14.50 |