PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

TangledUpInBlue

0xe05f5943a8adf19d59d0d63d77b7eb681297b3e8

Realised P&L
$16.4k
Volume
$2.42M
Markets traded
438
Open portfolio
$9.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded438
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0080.054$2.8k+$2.4k
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0440.070$1.9k+$690.58
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0110.017$1.6k+$550.00
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0170.007$1.5k$1.9k
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0090.015$339.91+$147.96
Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0070.005$305.74$61.59
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0370.048$293.48+$65.47
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0340.011$264.87$582.05
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0140.004$78.63$173.48
Will the Athletics win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0060.001$18.57$209.65
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0520.002$1.67$56.51
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Tampa Bay Rays0.5100.000$0.00$50.25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$73.95
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox0.4900.000$0.00$112.07
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox · Chicago White Sox0.4300.000$0.00$215.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-20 00:27Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.0151642872$344.23
05-01 10:38Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.025$1.15
04-29 07:36Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.03$42.00
04-29 07:33Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.025$43.75
04-23 22:14New York Yankees vs. Boston Red SoxBUY0.45$87.03
04-23 03:36Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.0250468673$28.30
04-23 03:36Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.0265503234$124.79
04-23 03:22Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco GiantsSELL0.49$122.50
04-22 12:28Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.029$22.59
04-22 12:26Will the Athletics win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.007$52.37
04-22 12:21Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.026$84.66
04-22 09:06Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY0.098$136.39
04-21 07:44Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?SELL0.097$48.50
04-21 07:41Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.028$32.42
04-21 07:41Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.033$37.09