TangledUpInBlue
0xe05f5943a8adf19d59d0d63d77b7eb681297b3e8
- Realised P&L
- $17.3k
- Volume
- $2.46M
- Markets traded
- 438
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded438
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.007 | $1.5k | −$1.9k |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.009 | $850.00 | −$250.00 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.518 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.00 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$73.95 |
| New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox | 0.492 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$112.45 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox · Chicago White Sox | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$215.00 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies | 0.265 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$158.99 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Athletics vs. New York Yankees · Athletics | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.80 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels · Los Angeles Angels | 0.468 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.00 |
| New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · New York Mets | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.00 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox · Chicago White Sox | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.99 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? · Yes | 0.381 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres · Colorado Rockies | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.50 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies | 0.304 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$126.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.9kat 0.162Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$7.7kat 0.359Dodgers vs. Blue Jays
- +$6.2kat 0.133Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
- +$1.3kat 0.044Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?
- +$910.96at 0.500Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 11:27 | Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.365 | $360.70 |
| 10-18 08:16 | Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.2200498536 | $2.2k |
| 09-30 07:57 | Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.112 | $189.06 |
| 09-27 03:59 | Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.12 | $70.56 |
| 09-26 10:18 | Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.112 | $84.00 |
| 09-13 07:40 | Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.066 | $983.40 |
| 09-05 08:23 | Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.001 | $6.19 |
| 09-05 08:21 | Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.012 | $6.00 |
| 08-16 03:50 | Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.072 | $892.80 |
| 05-20 00:27 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0151642872 | $344.23 |
| 05-01 10:38 | Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.025 | $1.15 |
| 04-29 07:36 | Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.03 | $42.00 |
| 04-29 07:33 | Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.025 | $43.75 |
| 04-23 22:14 | New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.45 | $87.03 |
| 04-23 03:36 | Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.0250468673 | $28.30 |