PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xE05a1866D86eEFFb2a1F2D1cea666e82c663A7EB-1773229221660

0xe05a1866d86eeffb2a1f2d1cea666e82c663a7eb

Realised P&L
$107.66
Volume
$9.5k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$7.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration47.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0190.002$7.84−$92.16
Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes0.0760.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 18:37Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0191367306$100.00
07-19 18:35Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5849999984$100.00
07-02 18:25Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?SELL0.1499406332$9.09
07-02 18:25Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?SELL0.74$21.74
06-12 07:24Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.2790137309$146.71
05-03 06:46Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0950884169$50.00
03-27 09:03Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.2473614776$15.00
03-17 14:34Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY0.7699999962$39.00
03-16 22:34Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6806445309$20.00
03-16 22:32Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?BUY0.021$5.00
03-16 22:32Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?BUY0.08$5.00
03-16 22:30Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY0.0257812311$15.00
03-16 22:18Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY0.8099999993$100.00
03-16 22:13Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL0.19$86.36
03-16 19:58Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY0.0489498463$30.00