PolyBot

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Traders

panda233

0xe050265c74bc62d03c59126b764a95fcac3018cf

Realised P&L
$-142.50
Volume
$17.9k
Markets traded
171
Open portfolio
$10.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded171
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 5? · Yes0.0881.000$9.99+$9.12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 5? · Yes0.0010.001$0.05−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 10? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 9? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 7? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 29? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 4? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.02
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 25? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.60
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 30? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$0.15
Will the announcers say "Red Devil" during the New Zealand vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match? · No0.0100.000$0.00−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 4? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 8? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 07:10Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 4?SELL0.01$0.01
10-04 07:09Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 4?SELL0.001$0.01
09-06 06:32Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 6?SELL0.03$0.60
08-21 02:26US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?SELL0.012$0.60
08-14 05:03Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 14?SELL0.81$0.07
08-14 05:01Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 14?BUY0.82$0.07
08-14 02:54Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 14?SELL0.17$3.40
08-13 02:03Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 14?SELL0.04$0.80
08-12 10:49Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 13?SELL0.1$2.00
08-12 10:22Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 13?SELL0.32$6.40
08-09 01:06US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?SELL0.002$0.20
08-06 01:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.63$12.60
07-16 03:25Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?SELL0.001$0.20
07-15 03:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?SELL0.001$0.20
07-07 12:54Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?SELL0.002$0.26