panda233
0xe050265c74bc62d03c59126b764a95fcac3018cf
- Realised P&L
- $-142.50
- Volume
- $17.9k
- Markets traded
- 171
- Open portfolio
- $10.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded171
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.48at 0.840US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
- +$18.80at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 10?
- +$16.00at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 7?
- +$6.95at 0.893Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 3?
- +$4.38at 0.090Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.01 |
| 10-04 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-06 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 6? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 08-21 02:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.60 |
| 08-14 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 14? | SELL | 0.81 | $0.07 |
| 08-14 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 14? | BUY | 0.82 | $0.07 |
| 08-14 02:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 14? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 08-13 02:03 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 14? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 08-12 10:49 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 13? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 13? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 08-09 01:06 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 08-06 01:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 07-16 03:25 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 07-15 03:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 07-07 12:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.26 |