0XE04A5813b7043564654A776c9189F3AE527d094f
0xe04a5813b7043564654a776c9189f3ae527d094f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $3.06M
- Markets traded
- 621
- Open portfolio
- $4.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded621
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-15 House seat? · No | 0.310 | 0.069 | $3.45 | −$12.05 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CT-04 House seat? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.020 | $0.96 | −$1.15 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MD-04 House seat? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.004 | $0.23 | −$2.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.745Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
- +$184.99at 0.001US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$133.00at 0.867Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
- +$100.98at 0.747Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
- +$70.11at 0.710Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 17:26 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.09 |
| 06-17 17:26 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.14 |
| 06-17 17:25 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.13 |
| 06-17 17:25 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $15.10 |
| 06-17 12:46 | Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 06-17 12:11 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat? | SELL | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 02:45 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.07 |
| 06-17 02:35 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.84 |
| 06-17 02:25 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.958 | $43.11 |
| 06-17 02:15 | Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.03 |
| 06-17 02:15 | Will the Democratic Party win the UT-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.75 |
| 06-17 02:10 | Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.30 |
| 06-17 02:10 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-16 House seat? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 06-17 02:05 | Will the Democratic Party win the UT-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 06-17 01:05 | Will the Republican Party win the NE-03 House seat? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.50 |