PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8743a7d90DfD12E310e501bD890E60bA950360F7-1769535151007

0xe031faf264c8ffb997740d4b11fdf78bb8d2cf1a

Realised P&L
$-94.50
Volume
$7.8k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$4.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9610.968$623.82+$4.28
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 1? · Yes0.4071.000$572.96+$339.78
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9670.977$565.39+$5.42
Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9710.964$485.47−$3.63
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8370.825$371.13−$5.25
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8980.949$346.38+$18.52
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.6470.725$294.35+$31.51
Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9630.972$243.00+$2.25
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9680.974$216.23+$1.44
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 1? · No0.7270.992$173.60+$46.45
Will Édouard Philippe win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2070.205$149.48−$1.61
Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9710.970$147.74−$0.20
Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9650.960$124.80−$0.64
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9630.968$96.80+$0.50
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9590.951$82.12−$0.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:17Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 1?BUY0.39$8.28
11-01 20:04Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on November 1?BUY0.38636$11.59
11-01 20:04Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 1?BUY0.07$3.09
11-01 20:04Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 1?BUY0.06$0.36
11-01 20:04Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on November 1?BUY0.3628571429$12.70
11-01 19:22Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 1?BUY0.4073389557$22.70
11-01 19:16Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 1?BUY0.428580755$15.10
11-01 19:16Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 1?BUY0.4772334173$11.37
11-01 19:11Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 1?BUY0.49$2.45
11-01 19:11Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 1?BUY0.49$4.01
11-01 19:11Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 1?BUY0.49$17.35
11-01 19:11Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 1?BUY0.42$12.40
11-01 19:11Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 1?BUY0.48$5.07
11-01 19:09Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 1?BUY0.34$2.86
11-01 19:08Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 1?BUY0.34$1.70