dfghjkafd
0xe02bec1e9352a69b40197b1fe1bbdfd22457be36
- Realised P&L
- $-68.79
- Volume
- $685.23
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $6.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? · Yes | 0.267 | 0.171 | $3.41 | −$1.93 |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%? · Yes | 0.597 | 0.083 | $1.65 | −$10.29 |
| Will Trump meet with King Mohammed VI in 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.065 | $1.30 | −$4.70 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · Yes | 0.286 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.72 |
| Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona? · No | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June? · Yes | 0.377 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.54 |
| Will Trump speak to Miguel Díaz-Canel in August? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.10at 0.595Will Twisted Minds Win EWC 2026: Overwatch?
- +$3.38at 0.581Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?
- +$0.98at 0.837Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?
- +$0.84at 0.786Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?
- +$0.80at 0.448Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:36 | Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.451 | $9.02 |
| 08-01 03:05 | Will Shea Langeliers be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.36 |
| 08-01 03:04 | Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by less than 4%? | SELL | 0.051 | $1.02 |
| 08-01 03:04 | The Polymarket Classic: Winner | SELL | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 08-01 03:04 | Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? | SELL | 0.179 | $3.58 |
| 08-01 03:04 | Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United? | SELL | 0.404 | $8.08 |
| 08-01 03:03 | Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | SELL | 0.743 | $9.89 |