patriciakaiser
0xe028309fd99ced61162095b2a373b8cd00e4e353
- Realised P&L
- $-50.78
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $51.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 25? · No | 0.910 | 1.000 | $25.58 | +$2.30 |
| Spread: Hawai'i (-2.5) · Hawai'i | 0.540 | 0.495 | $25.55 | −$2.32 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.002 | $0.07 | −$28.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.80at 0.820Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 16?
- +$0.37at 0.984Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$0.33at 0.630Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
- +$0.21at 0.980Will McDonald's worker get reward money before April?
- +$0.12at 0.995Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:52 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January? | BUY | 0.9809999638 | $8.10 |
| 01-31 13:46 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.984 | $23.02 |
| 01-30 15:07 | Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $11.25 |
| 01-30 14:39 | Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $14.22 |
| 01-30 12:18 | Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.92 |
| 12-30 08:53 | Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.55 |
| 12-30 08:28 | Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.83 |
| 12-29 22:26 | Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.50 |
| 12-29 21:30 | Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.60 |
| 10-31 15:35 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.21 |
| 10-31 14:51 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.43 |
| 09-29 17:50 | Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September? | BUY | 0.9969999608 | $14.67 |
| 09-29 13:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.34 |
| 09-29 03:45 | Will XRP reach $4.50 in September? | BUY | 0.9979999697 | $13.62 |
| 09-29 01:11 | Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $17.21 |