PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

patriciakaiser

0xe028309fd99ced61162095b2a373b8cd00e4e353

Realised P&L
$-50.78
Volume
$11.9k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$51.21

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 25? · No0.9101.000$25.58+$2.30
Spread: Hawai'i (-2.5) · Hawai'i0.5400.495$25.55−$2.32
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? · Yes0.5900.002$0.07−$28.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 13:52Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?BUY0.9809999638$8.10
01-31 13:46Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.984$23.02
01-30 15:07Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.9969999998$11.25
01-30 14:39Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January?BUY0.995$14.22
01-30 12:18Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January?BUY0.999$33.92
12-30 08:53Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?BUY0.999$7.55
12-30 08:28Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025?BUY0.999$16.83
12-29 22:26Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025?BUY0.998$13.50
12-29 21:30Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey in 2025?BUY0.999$39.60
10-31 15:35Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$27.21
10-31 14:51Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$29.43
09-29 17:50Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?BUY0.9969999608$14.67
09-29 13:57Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?BUY0.999$11.34
09-29 03:45Will XRP reach $4.50 in September?BUY0.9979999697$13.62
09-29 01:11Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.995$17.21