johnwicks
0xe01bcad28dc1da91142c3947e399a40e6b69ba2a
- Realised P&L
- $-486.53
- Volume
- $63.7k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $843.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$419.99at 0.580Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$248.00at 0.690Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?
- +$200.00at 0.600SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
- +$183.60at 0.770Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?
- +$157.50at 0.775Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-29 21:33 | Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.989 | $85.57 |
| 12-10 02:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 12-04 01:03 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BUY | 0.995 | $995.00 |
| 12-03 01:16 | AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025? | BUY | 0.9568279554 | $662.15 |
| 12-03 00:36 | Stripe IPO in 2025? | BUY | 0.9850684507 | $979.16 |
| 11-18 17:17 | Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999999 | $1.9k |
| 11-11 14:12 | Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025? | SELL | 0.016300252 | $4.07 |
| 11-11 13:58 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025? | BUY | 0.9898134776 | $3.0k |
| 11-10 16:20 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025? | BUY | 0.985 | $1.3k |
| 11-05 12:41 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BUY | 0.9749999996 | $500.00 |
| 08-02 00:03 | AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025? | BUY | 0.92 | $495.42 |
| 02-05 17:02 | Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok? | BUY | 0.948 | $18.96 |
| 11-11 02:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? | BUY | 0.4 | $21.80 |
| 08-11 15:21 | USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | SELL | 0.9900820303 | $1.2k |
| 08-11 11:15 | USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | BUY | 0.943 | $400.00 |