PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

testik2

0xe018ac1e9914f9061e9b4969a09b17984e44a22d

Realised P&L
$5.6k
Volume
$858.4k
Markets traded
1,264
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,264
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? · No0.7730.955$649.41+$123.57
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat? · Yes0.2810.885$212.40+$144.86
Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.5760.968$179.02+$72.48
Cambria FDV above $70M one day after launch? · No0.7600.775$47.27+$0.91
Anthropic acquired before 2027? · Yes0.0690.037$25.50$21.44
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat? · Yes0.5830.085$20.40$119.41
Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.1900.290$17.69+$6.10
Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? · No0.2800.380$8.36+$2.20
Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0390.039$7.23+$0.00
Yo FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.1450.244$1.72+$0.70
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1200.041$0.41$0.79
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1400.100$0.15$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 16:34Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $370 on June 26?BUY0.6228010585$12.46
06-26 16:34Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $370 on June 26?BUY0.6209999963$39.75
06-26 16:34Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $370 on June 26?BUY0.6219999814$9.96
06-26 16:34Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $370 on June 26?BUY0.622$49.76
06-26 16:34Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $370 on June 26?BUY0.624$62.40
06-26 16:34Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $370 on June 26?BUY0.624$62.40
06-26 16:34Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $370 on June 26?BUY0.623$49.84
06-26 16:34Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $370 on June 26?BUY0.624$62.40
06-26 16:34Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $370 on June 26?BUY0.623$49.84
06-26 16:34Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $370 on June 26?BUY0.622$49.76
06-26 16:34Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $370 on June 26?BUY0.624$62.40
06-26 16:34Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $370 on June 26?BUY0.622003198$62.40
06-26 16:33Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 12PM ETBUY0.53$5.83
06-26 16:28Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 12PM ETBUY0.65$18.20
06-26 16:21Ethereum above 1,580 on June 26, 1PM ET?BUY0.31$8.68