Underdog2412
0xe00bbf37986a5e57e76cb82cab1a37636b86256f
- Realised P&L
- $-338.68
- Volume
- $81.4k
- Markets traded
- 986
- Open portfolio
- $96.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded986
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) · Seahawks | 0.550 | 0.550 | $20.00 | +$0.00 |
| Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever · Las Vegas Aces | 0.480 | 0.475 | $19.79 | −$0.21 |
| Spread: Steelers (-2.5) · Steelers | 0.530 | 0.515 | $14.58 | −$0.42 |
| Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs · Canadiens | 0.510 | 0.505 | $10.89 | −$0.11 |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) · Patriots | 0.490 | 0.485 | $10.89 | −$0.11 |
| Spread: Packers (-3.5) · Buccaneers | 0.500 | 0.490 | $10.78 | −$0.22 |
| Spread: Oilers (-1.5) · Oilers | 0.520 | 0.515 | $9.90 | −$0.10 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) · Seahawks | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Spread: Packers (-4.5) · Packers | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5) · Las Vegas Aces | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) · Seahawks | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5) · Los Angeles Sparks | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.50 |
| Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5) · Chicago Sky | 0.505 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty · New York Liberty | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.20 |
| Spread: Toronto Tempo (-4.5) · Toronto Tempo | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$219.60at 0.154Magic vs. Celtics
- +$162.87at 0.614Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
- +$128.35at 0.540Hurricanes vs. Islanders
- +$124.28at 0.706Cavaliers vs. Hawks
- +$122.00at 0.500Rams vs. Broncos
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 02:47 | Spread: Oilers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 02:46 | Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.509999987 | $11.00 |
| 09-29 02:41 | Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | SELL | 0.039 | $0.99 |
| 09-29 02:41 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever | BUY | 0.4799999962 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 21:53 | Spread: Packers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $11.00 |
| 09-28 21:46 | Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5499999904 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 21:46 | Spread: Steelers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5299999961 | $15.00 |
| 09-28 21:43 | Spread: Bills (-6.5) | BUY | 0.4899999911 | $11.00 |
| 09-28 06:29 | Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5099999816 | $13.00 |
| 09-28 04:12 | Will CF América win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 23:53 | Rams vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.5 | $122.00 |
| 09-27 23:50 | Spread: Ravens (-2.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $95.37 |
| 09-27 20:33 | Spread: Ravens (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4189526162 | $40.00 |
| 09-27 20:12 | Spread: Ravens (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4799999985 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 07:52 | Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5099999971 | $40.00 |