0xdffe111e5d0c7e7f3d41b33fb59417df9a7eafd4
- Realised P&L
- $-19.67
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $4.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.15at 0.446Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill
- +$3.30at 0.241New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals
- +$2.95at 0.262Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners
- +$2.95at 0.262Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers
- +$2.84at 0.270Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 08:13 | Lafayette vs. Georgetown | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 08:12 | US Open, Qualification WTA: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu | BUY | 0.8499149233 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 16:48 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 18:00 | Will FK Spartak Moskva win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 18:00 | Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Hugo Grenier vs Mees Rottgering | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 17:58 | Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 17:58 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 17:57 | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 08-19 05:50 | Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.0769999348 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 05:50 | Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.0769999348 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 05:49 | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 05:49 | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 05:47 | Human moon landing in 2026? | BUY | 0.0116559175 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 05:43 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599995356 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 05:43 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599995356 | $1.00 |