PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xdffe111e5d0c7e7f3d41b33fb59417df9a7eafd4

Realised P&L
$-19.67
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
129
Open portfolio
$4.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded129
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8600.860$2.00+$0.00
Human moon landing in 2026? · Yes0.0120.017$1.42+$0.42
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.0770.042$1.08$0.92
Generali Open: Alexandre Muller vs Mariano Navone · Alexandre Muller0.2500.000$0.00$1.00
Zug: Alexander Donski vs Max Hans Rehberg · Alexander Donski0.3500.000$0.00$1.00
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds0.0400.000$0.00$1.00
Zug: Max Alcala Gurri vs Dylan Dietrich · Max Alcala Gurri0.3180.000$0.00$1.00
Swedish Open, Qualification: William Vinciguerra vs Lautaro Midon · William Vinciguerra0.1700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-07-17? · Yes0.8800.000$0.00$1.00
ODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan · Sri Lanka0.1300.000$0.00$1.00
Braunschweig: Daniel Rincon vs Jan Choinski · Daniel Rincon0.1100.000$0.00$1.00
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals · St. Louis Cardinals0.3300.000$0.00$1.00
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians · Arizona Diamondbacks0.0570.000$0.00$2.00
Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys · Mariano Navone0.4400.000$0.00$1.00
Will England win? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 08:13Lafayette vs. GeorgetownBUY0.6$1.00
08-28 08:12US Open, Qualification WTA: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca AndreescuBUY0.8499149233$1.00
08-25 16:48US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh BasavareddyBUY0.4799998272$1.00
08-23 18:00Will FK Spartak Moskva win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.9$1.00
08-23 18:00Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Hugo Grenier vs Mees RottgeringBUY0.6899999586$1.00
08-23 17:58Washington Nationals vs. Miami MarlinsBUY0.719999856$1.00
08-23 17:58St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesBUY0.4599997608$1.00
08-23 17:57AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?SELL0.19$3.80
08-19 05:50Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?BUY0.0769999348$1.00
08-19 05:50Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?BUY0.0769999348$1.00
08-19 05:49AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?BUY0.1$1.00
08-19 05:49AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?BUY0.1$1.00
08-19 05:47Human moon landing in 2026?BUY0.0116559175$1.00
08-19 05:43Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8599995356$1.00
08-19 05:43Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8599995356$1.00