PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xdffe111e5d0c7e7f3d41b33fb59417df9a7eafd4

0xdffe111e5d0c7e7f3d41b33fb59417df9a7eafd4

Realised P&L
$-25.27
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
129
Open portfolio
$15.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded129
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.0770.494$12.84+$10.84
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8600.931$2.17+$0.17
Human moon landing in 2026? · Yes0.0120.009$0.81−$0.18
Generali Open: Alexandre Muller vs Mariano Navone · Alexandre Muller0.2500.000$0.00−$1.00
Zug: Alexander Donski vs Max Hans Rehberg · Alexander Donski0.3500.000$0.00−$1.00
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00
Zug: Max Alcala Gurri vs Dylan Dietrich · Max Alcala Gurri0.3180.000$0.00−$1.00
Swedish Open, Qualification: William Vinciguerra vs Lautaro Midon · William Vinciguerra0.1700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-07-17? · Yes0.8800.000$0.00−$1.00
ODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan · Sri Lanka0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
Braunschweig: Daniel Rincon vs Jan Choinski · Daniel Rincon0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals · St. Louis Cardinals0.3300.000$0.00−$1.00
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians · Arizona Diamondbacks0.0570.000$0.00−$2.00
Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys · Mariano Navone0.4400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will England win? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 08:13Lafayette vs. GeorgetownBUY0.6$1.00
08-28 08:12US Open, Qualification WTA: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca AndreescuBUY0.8499149233$1.00
08-25 16:48US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh BasavareddyBUY0.4799998272$1.00
08-23 18:00Will FK Spartak Moskva win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.9$1.00
08-23 18:00Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Hugo Grenier vs Mees RottgeringBUY0.6899999586$1.00
08-23 17:58Washington Nationals vs. Miami MarlinsBUY0.719999856$1.00
08-23 17:58St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesBUY0.4599997608$1.00
08-23 17:57AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?SELL0.19$3.80
08-19 05:50Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?BUY0.0769999348$1.00
08-19 05:50Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?BUY0.0769999348$1.00
08-19 05:49AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?BUY0.1$1.00
08-19 05:49AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?BUY0.1$1.00
08-19 05:47Human moon landing in 2026?BUY0.0116559175$1.00
08-19 05:43Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8599995356$1.00
08-19 05:43Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8599995356$1.00