0xdfe8e0d0e47db969ec3e614e2bbda5ce3e41de8b
- Realised P&L
- $-10.86
- Volume
- $280.46
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $29.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers vs. Patriots · Steelers | 0.310 | 0.325 | $2.40 | +$0.11 |
| Spread: Eagles (-6.5) · Eagles | 0.540 | 0.545 | $2.31 | +$0.02 |
| Spread: Ravens (-6.5) · Ravens | 0.590 | 0.585 | $2.27 | −$0.02 |
| Spread: Chargers (-6.5) · Chargers | 0.510 | 0.505 | $2.27 | −$0.02 |
| Bengals vs. Texans · Bengals | 0.420 | 0.415 | $2.26 | −$0.03 |
| Spread: Panthers (-4.5) · Panthers | 0.400 | 0.395 | $2.26 | −$0.03 |
| Packers vs. Jets · Jets | 0.390 | 0.385 | $2.26 | −$0.03 |
| Spread: 49ers (-13.5) · Dolphins | 0.510 | 0.505 | $2.26 | −$0.02 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) · Seahawks | 0.420 | 0.415 | $2.25 | −$0.03 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-13.5) · Buccaneers | 0.370 | 0.365 | $2.25 | −$0.03 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-2.5) · Cowboys | 0.610 | 0.605 | $2.22 | −$0.02 |
| Spread: Broncos (-3.5) · Broncos | 0.440 | 0.425 | $2.20 | −$0.08 |
| Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 50.5 · Over | 0.420 | 0.395 | $2.15 | −$0.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.70at 0.565Broncos vs. Chiefs
- +$2.94at 0.627Ducks vs. Oilers
- +$2.50at 0.518Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5
- +$1.75at 0.607Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- +$1.02at 0.637Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 10:55 | Spread: Cowboys (-2.5) | BUY | 0.6099999183 | $2.24 |
| 09-20 10:53 | Spread: 49ers (-13.5) | BUY | 0.5099999128 | $2.28 |
| 09-20 10:51 | Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) | BUY | 0.4199999558 | $2.28 |
| 09-20 10:39 | Spread: Chargers (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5099998953 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 10:32 | Spread: Broncos (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4399999305 | $2.28 |
| 09-20 10:30 | Spread: Buccaneers (-13.5) | BUY | 0.3699999497 | $2.28 |
| 09-20 10:25 | Bengals vs. Texans | BUY | 0.4199999963 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 10:19 | Spread: Ravens (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5899999897 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 09:54 | Packers vs. Jets | BUY | 0.3899999915 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 09:50 | Spread: Panthers (-4.5) | BUY | 0.4 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 09:15 | Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.4199999963 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 08:48 | Steelers vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.3099999905 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 08:46 | Spread: Eagles (-6.5) | BUY | 0.539999967 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 08:44 | Spread: Eagles (-7.5) | SELL | 0.45 | $1.91 |
| 09-19 23:28 | Spread: Eagles (-7.5) | BUY | 0.469999906 | $2.00 |