sola001
0xdfe57d2c92e479978c85834bfffe503964b690b8
- Realised P&L
- $-33.99
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $2.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · No | 0.160 | 0.205 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · No | 0.420 | 0.510 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.417 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.01 |
| Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.89 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? · Yes | 0.387 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.37at 0.327Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$6.28at 0.537Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$5.11at 0.490Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?
- +$4.52at 0.590Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
- +$2.83at 0.715MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 13:15 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 13:15 | Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 13:11 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.91 |
| 09-17 10:53 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999782 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 08:40 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.90 |
| 09-14 08:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.90 |
| 09-13 09:43 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 09:23 | Will Russia target Kyiv on August 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.71 |
| 08-29 09:09 | Will Russia target Kyiv on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099995859 | $2.00 |
| 08-29 09:08 | Will Russia target Kyiv on August 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399998908 | $4.00 |
| 08-19 17:22 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $2.40 |
| 08-19 17:22 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $1.58 |
| 08-19 16:20 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.8299999792 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 16:20 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 16:18 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.07 |