0xdfe347c8f862d26739b67175ebad55ab32af3e6f
0xdfe347c8f862d26739b67175ebad55ab32af3e6f
- Realised P&L
- $-136.28
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 168
- Open portfolio
- $33.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded168
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.44at 0.500Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026?
- +$31.80at 0.500Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?
- +$26.15at 0.500Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
- +$21.15at 0.500Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
- +$19.30at 0.5000 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 03:09 | Will Pfizer (PFE) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.7 | $10.50 |
| 07-14 01:45 | Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? | SELL | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 07-13 20:20 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 07-11 20:48 | Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday? | SELL | 0.33 | $2.40 |
| 07-07 12:43 | Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.37 | $2.22 |
| 07-06 21:53 | Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.1237755556 | $1.11 |
| 07-06 21:51 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 10? | SELL | 0.55 | $3.30 |
| 07-06 21:33 | Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.132 | $1.06 |
| 07-06 21:25 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.74 | $4.44 |
| 07-06 21:25 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.75 | $4.50 |
| 07-06 21:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 7? | SELL | 0.38 | $2.28 |
| 07-06 21:21 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.50 |
| 07-06 21:21 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.50 |
| 07-06 21:11 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.58 | $3.48 |
| 07-06 21:11 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.84 |