thismonth
0xdfddd5c3b996c4176d72c3ca7859f10a7c825585
- Realised P&L
- $10.8k
- Volume
- $2.99M
- Markets traded
- 1,342
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,342
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.9kat 0.033Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?
- +$14.4kat 0.040Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 3?
- +$8.4kat 0.058Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21?
- +$3.6kat 0.143Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 27?
- +$3.2kat 0.298Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 01:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.1799999998 | $166.90 |
| 10-05 01:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.007 | $3.54 |
| 10-05 01:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.037875 | $15.15 |
| 10-05 01:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $25.00 |
| 10-05 01:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | BUY | 0.2815533963 | $25.00 |
| 10-05 00:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.006 | $10.26 |
| 10-05 00:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.005 | $4.13 |
| 10-05 00:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.121 | $244.22 |
| 10-05 00:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.0277561068 | $22.76 |
| 10-05 00:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.027 | $10.85 |
| 10-05 00:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1799999999 | $25.00 |
| 10-05 00:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 00:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 00:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 00:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.0592313237 | $71.00 |