PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

manuuuuuc

0xdfd77fc244e6a9d0431844e46c54ae3ed46c57d7

Realised P&L
$-145.85
Volume
$25.5k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$19.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · Yes0.2960.015$19.22−$347.68
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$9.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET · Up0.1250.000$0.00−$11.75
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor0.3200.000$0.00−$1.0k
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? · No0.0300.000$0.00−$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET · Up0.0220.000$0.00−$5.00
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$10.00
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? · Yes0.3270.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Up0.1810.000$0.00−$17.00
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $695 Week of April 20 2026? · Yes0.1310.000$0.00−$72.98
BMW Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marko Topo · Marko Topo0.1330.000$0.00−$15.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.0930.000$0.00−$194.50
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$80.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET · Up0.0140.000$0.00−$4.00
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $715 Week of April 13 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$11.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 00:19Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?BUY0.0298507106$50.00
09-13 21:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.0221363005$5.00
09-07 15:42Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.22$4.50
09-07 15:42Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUY0.29$174.00
09-04 17:10Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.35$12.43
09-02 22:07Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.3$9.00
09-02 21:58Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.29$2.90
08-31 20:27Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUY0.23$52.50
07-19 21:48Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.095$104.50
07-10 19:32UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.32$1.0k
07-02 20:02Spain vs. Austria: Team to AdvanceBUY0.045$40.50
06-30 19:59Spain vs. Austria: Team to AdvanceBUY0.14$112.00
06-30 11:17Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.09$108.00
06-27 22:45Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?BUY0.08$80.00
06-21 08:52Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.14$112.00