PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xdFd0885A6efd9f1E71c9e1BB0F867490829FEABD-1767703529446

0xdfd0885a6efd9f1e71c9e1bb0f867490829feabd

Realised P&L
$-94.62
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$4.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? · Yes0.0480.021$3.15−$3.85
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? · No0.6301.000$1.59+$0.59
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-01-18? · Yes0.5460.000$0.00−$9.50
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? · No0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-01? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$11.00
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-11? · Yes0.8400.000$0.00−$21.00
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28? · No0.7500.000$0.00−$1.00
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$25.00
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card) · Pimblett0.6600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-18 13:35Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETBUY0.55$0.97
02-18 13:35Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?SELL0.57$0.73
02-18 13:30Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
02-18 13:29Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.88$1.00
02-18 03:56Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETBUY0.8001481734$78.98
02-18 03:55Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETSELL0.99$63.02
02-18 03:54Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETBUY0.7099999815$9.79
02-18 03:53Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETBUY0.7599998541$4.92
02-18 03:52Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETBUY0.5699999918$24.25
02-18 03:41Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETBUY0.4899999923$27.13
01-30 19:23Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-01?BUY0.55$11.00
01-20 18:20Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?BUY0.2199999944$25.00
01-19 02:21Blues vs. OilersBUY0.95$20.00
01-17 02:52Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-01-18?BUY0.55$5.50
01-17 02:52FC Volendam vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.6$1.00