0xdFd0885A6efd9f1E71c9e1BB0F867490829FEABD-1767703529446
0xdfd0885a6efd9f1e71c9e1bb0f867490829feabd
- Realised P&L
- $-94.62
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $4.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.021 | $3.15 | −$3.85 |
| Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? · No | 0.630 | 1.000 | $1.59 | +$0.59 |
| Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-01-18? · Yes | 0.546 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.50 |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? · No | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-01? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-11? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28? · No | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card) · Pimblett | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.25at 0.498Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
- +$23.02at 0.628Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
- +$22.40at 0.770Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?
- +$18.47at 0.730ASB Classic: Alexandra Eala vs Xinyu Wang
- +$15.56at 0.720Will PSV win on 2026-01-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-18 13:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $0.97 |
| 02-18 13:35 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.73 |
| 02-18 13:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 02-18 13:29 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.00 |
| 02-18 03:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8001481734 | $78.98 |
| 02-18 03:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $63.02 |
| 02-18 03:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $9.79 |
| 02-18 03:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.7599998541 | $4.92 |
| 02-18 03:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999918 | $24.25 |
| 02-18 03:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999923 | $27.13 |
| 01-30 19:23 | Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-01? | BUY | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 01-20 18:20 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20? | BUY | 0.2199999944 | $25.00 |
| 01-19 02:21 | Blues vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.95 | $20.00 |
| 01-17 02:52 | Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-01-18? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 01-17 02:52 | FC Volendam vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |