rcYf
0xdfccaf4e9a287bf38b71e8dcb7eab5fb65c8d414
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $318.7k
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $95.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on September 26? · No | 0.999 | 0.989 | $95.01 | −$0.96 |
| Corbin Carroll: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Rams vs. Falcons · Rams | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.968 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$560.86 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.40 |
| Segovia: Yanki Erel vs Dominik Palan · Dominik Palan | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$529.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.965Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)
- +$661.93at 0.983Spread: Norway (-2.5)
- +$25.70at 0.984US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$17.38at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 21?
- +$11.81at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 12:49 | Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on September 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $95.97 |
| 08-06 14:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 07-15 04:28 | Spread: Argentina (-3.5) | BUY | 0.993 | $528.24 |
| 07-10 02:52 | Spread: Belgium (-3.5) | BUY | 0.997 | $526.86 |
| 06-26 21:20 | Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5) | BUY | 0.965 | $2.3k |
| 06-26 20:42 | Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5) | BUY | 0.956 | $88.91 |
| 06-26 20:19 | Spread: Norway (-2.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $41.5k |
| 06-26 14:31 | Spread: Norway (-2.5) | BUY | 0.983 | $3.9k |
| 06-11 02:46 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.968 | $560.86 |
| 06-06 09:51 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $142.86 |
| 06-03 01:40 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $535.16 |
| 05-19 10:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $534.61 |
| 05-16 10:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $520.05 |
| 05-16 10:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90,000 on May 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.68 |
| 05-12 08:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $554.22 |