PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rcYf

0xdfccaf4e9a287bf38b71e8dcb7eab5fb65c8d414

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$318.7k
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$95.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on September 26? · No0.9990.989$95.01$0.96
Corbin Carroll: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Over0.1600.000$0.00$8.00
Rams vs. Falcons · Rams0.5000.000$0.00$2.50
Fernando Tatis Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Over0.1600.000$0.00$8.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.9680.000$0.00$560.86
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 7? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$4.40
Segovia: Yanki Erel vs Dominik Palan · Dominik Palan0.9300.000$0.00$529.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 12:49Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on September 26?BUY0.999$95.97
08-06 14:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 7?BUY0.22$4.40
07-15 04:28Spread: Argentina (-3.5)BUY0.993$528.24
07-10 02:52Spread: Belgium (-3.5)BUY0.997$526.86
06-26 21:20Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)BUY0.965$2.3k
06-26 20:42Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)BUY0.956$88.91
06-26 20:19Spread: Norway (-2.5)SELL0.999$41.5k
06-26 14:31Spread: Norway (-2.5)BUY0.983$3.9k
06-11 02:46US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.968$560.86
06-06 09:51US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY0.984$142.86
06-03 01:40US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY0.96$535.16
05-19 10:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?BUY0.999$534.61
05-16 10:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 18?BUY0.999$520.05
05-16 10:01Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90,000 on May 18?BUY0.999$34.68
05-12 08:43Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14?BUY0.999$554.22