0xDFc6CeB8CB3f725e18CdC72aFB0cE308702D285C-1773431461270
0xdfc6ceb8cb3f725e18cdc72afb0ce308702d285c
- Realised P&L
- $-7.21
- Volume
- $28.9k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $21.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 29? · Yes | 0.994 | 0.996 | $21.91 | +$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.10at 0.990Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 28?
- +$0.06at 0.996Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 17?
- +$0.04at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 14?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?
- +$0.02at 0.998Will the price of Solana be less than $40 on March 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.9937727273 | $21.86 |
| 07-06 07:15 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.03 |
| 06-29 07:16 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.04 |
| 06-22 06:43 | Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.16 |
| 05-15 08:21 | Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.54 |
| 05-11 04:19 | Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.12 |
| 04-15 05:30 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $9.90 |
| 04-11 05:41 | Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.52 |
| 04-09 12:39 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.009 | $1.22 |
| 03-18 07:17 | Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.975 | $625.95 |
| 03-17 09:22 | Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam? | SELL | 0.962 | $217.20 |
| 03-17 07:59 | Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam? | BUY | 0.971 | $623.38 |