PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xdfc16898a5e2bc722486e23083a98e29b861818d

Realised P&L
$-55.1k
Volume
$2.82M
Markets traded
4,088
Open portfolio
$16.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,088
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1410.162$5.0k+$626.94
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0810.105$1.4k+$319.09
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.2110.115$1.4k$1.1k
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks · Shanghai Sharks0.3241.000$297.57+$201.25
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 · Dplus KIA Challengers0.4601.000$213.37+$115.22
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs · magic0.4291.000$200.41+$114.41
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage · BetBoom Team0.4601.000$200.00+$108.00
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage · BetBoom Team0.6301.000$200.00+$74.00
LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs · NightBirds0.9001.000$200.00+$20.00
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? · Yes0.7001.000$199.99+$60.00
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics · Los Angeles Sparks0.3771.000$188.02+$117.05
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Vacherot · Alejandro Tabilo0.5100.500$186.58$3.73
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs · Aurora0.4581.000$168.00+$91.08
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs · Johnny Speeds0.4901.000$165.35+$84.33
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24? · Yes0.6991.000$150.00+$45.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-12 16:17Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho ShimabukuroBUY0.75$9.00
06-11 02:46Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League PlayoffsBUY0.14$1.26
06-05 05:07LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP PlayoffsBUY0.7199999839$5.38
06-05 04:46Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group CBUY0.27$10.80
06-05 03:31Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 PlayoffsBUY0.67$52.26
06-04 14:00Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group StageBUY0.7$3.50
06-04 06:31Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group StageBUY0.7$4.20
06-04 01:44Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)BUY0.07$0.35
06-03 04:12Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)BUY0.34$58.48
06-03 03:16Hurricanes vs. Golden KnightsBUY0.47$3.76
06-03 03:08Hurricanes vs. Golden KnightsBUY0.49$37.24
06-03 01:13Hurricanes vs. Golden KnightsBUY0.5299999761$9.53
06-03 00:22Golden Knights vs. HurricanesBUY0.5899999918$13.66
06-02 21:41Games Total: O/U 3.5BUY0.43$17.20
06-02 13:18LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters PlayoffsBUY0.9$90.00