under1992
0xdfc09c869f1bcf6bccb98252d9cf6271da1543a1
- Realised P&L
- $717.07
- Volume
- $38.1k
- Markets traded
- 203
- Open portfolio
- $31.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded203
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.190 | 0.168 | $31.02 | −$4.18 |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland: O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.477 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.55 |
| Romania vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.351 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.99 |
| France vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$714.36at 0.136Anguilla vs. Antigua and Barbuda: 1st Half O/U 1.5
- +$65.13at 0.011Portugal vs. Norway: O/U 3.5
- +$56.08at 0.596Ukraine vs. Hungary: O/U 1.5
- +$53.20at 0.412Korea Republic vs. Venezuela: O/U 0.5
- +$53.03at 0.260Cyprus vs. Armenia: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 21:32 | CD Riestra vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.92 | $25.00 |
| 10-05 21:30 | CD Riestra vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.85 | $25.00 |
| 10-05 20:37 | Montenegro vs. Armenia: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.975 | $15.14 |
| 10-05 20:33 | Romania vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.87 | $5.12 |
| 10-05 20:32 | Romania vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.155 | $1.86 |
| 10-05 20:32 | Romania vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.1480244815 | $4.35 |
| 10-05 20:29 | Romania vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.77 | $11.55 |
| 10-05 20:21 | Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.4775 | $9.55 |
| 10-05 20:18 | Montenegro vs. Armenia: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 10-05 20:10 | Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.78 | $42.98 |
| 10-05 20:08 | Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.76 | $3.94 |
| 10-05 20:07 | Italy vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.61 | $39.10 |
| 10-05 19:54 | France vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.14 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 19:30 | Ukraine vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.84 | $29.56 |
| 10-05 19:26 | Italy vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $8.46 |