nullfather
0xdfbffcdeb7d53fa2d4e718e91cfb7d0b08fb821a
- Realised P&L
- $-223.06
- Volume
- $67.6k
- Markets traded
- 566
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded566
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) · Kansas City Royals | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.60 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels · Los Angeles Angels | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.41 |
| Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5) · Texas Rangers | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.97 |
| Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5) · Texas Rangers | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.31 |
| Spurs vs. Knicks · Spurs | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.40 |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) · Baltimore Orioles | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.34 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals · Washington Nationals | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.50 |
| PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks · PortlandFire | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.40 |
| Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5) · Washington Nationals | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.52 |
| Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5) · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.80 |
| Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) · San Francisco Giants | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.80 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves · Washington Nationals | 0.838 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.37 |
| Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-6.5) · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.95 |
| Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings · Dallas Wings | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.40 |
| Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5) · Indiana Fever | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.77at 0.746New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$11.93at 0.720Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)
- +$11.64at 0.811Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)
- +$11.33at 0.870Spread: Washington Nationals (-5.5)
- +$9.31at 0.850Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 22:08 | Spread: Houston Astros (-5.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 09-27 22:03 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 09-27 21:54 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.995 | $19.90 |
| 09-27 21:34 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.994 | $19.88 |
| 09-27 21:34 | Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 09-27 21:30 | Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.994 | $19.88 |
| 09-27 21:29 | Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.989 | $19.78 |
| 09-27 21:29 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 09-27 21:12 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.995 | $19.90 |
| 09-27 20:44 | New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 09-27 04:28 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.993 | $19.86 |
| 09-27 03:39 | Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) | BUY | 0.989 | $19.78 |
| 09-27 01:54 | Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 09-26 02:45 | Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-26 02:30 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.986 | $19.72 |