tradeeeee
0xdfbdca978053bf05b23c9dec9cd4f22ca6035a6c
- Realised P&L
- $3.4k
- Volume
- $215.8k
- Markets traded
- 791
- Open portfolio
- $8.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded791
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$458.84at 0.132Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 21?
- +$366.37at 0.035Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 13?
- +$329.38at 0.307Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 20?
- +$294.15at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 8?
- +$277.60at 0.177Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 00:23 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.993 | $29.06 |
| 08-03 23:55 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.0020405566 | $0.81 |
| 08-03 23:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.7038461538 | $9.15 |
| 08-03 23:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.6834874634 | $20.99 |
| 08-03 22:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.57 | $10.26 |
| 08-03 22:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.57 | $10.26 |
| 08-03 22:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.53 | $15.90 |
| 08-03 22:19 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.72 | $21.07 |
| 08-03 22:17 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.99 | $29.05 |
| 08-03 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.73 | $30.66 |
| 08-03 19:36 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.6 | $4.80 |
| 08-03 19:34 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.53 | $3.71 |
| 08-03 19:32 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.4562511715 | $9.74 |
| 08-03 18:31 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.54 | $25.92 |
| 08-03 18:31 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.5305333333 | $39.79 |