PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tradeeeee

0xdfbdca978053bf05b23c9dec9cd4f22ca6035a6c

Realised P&L
$2.3k
Volume
$316.7k
Markets traded
1,535
Open portfolio
$179.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,535
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 19? · No0.9050.885$70.51$1.58
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19? · Yes0.2460.265$40.90+$2.94
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19? · No0.7060.740$37.00+$1.71
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 18? · No0.8760.990$17.51+$2.02
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19? · Yes0.0460.070$11.08+$3.71
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 18? · No0.9001.000$1.60+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18? · No0.5631.000$1.02+$0.45
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 18? · Yes0.1030.001$0.04$7.30
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25? · Yes0.2520.000$0.00$20.01
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on July 22? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$5.15
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 31? · Yes0.1810.000$0.00$14.44
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 17? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$16.86
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on September 13? · No0.1820.000$0.00$11.50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 5? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$5.20
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 10? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$2.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 23:32Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19?BUY0.08$2.52
09-18 23:31Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?BUY0.2796274592$6.68
09-18 23:06Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 19?BUY0.9$14.40
09-18 23:01Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?BUY0.2422727273$5.33
09-18 23:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19?BUY0.03875$1.55
09-18 22:52Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 19?BUY0.9$18.00
09-18 22:50Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.7059$35.30
09-18 22:17Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?BUY0.1951454139$5.23
09-18 22:17Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19?BUY0.0555955882$1.51
09-18 22:10Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 19?BUY0.9086190846$35.14
09-18 22:10Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?BUY0.2537588826$20.71
09-18 21:17Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on September 18?SELL0.998$9.98
09-18 21:13Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 18?BUY0.8756529112$15.49
09-18 21:10Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18?SELL0.98$31.36
09-18 21:09Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 18?SELL0.95$47.50