0xdfb8c9FB7B3fb002E0C379116DE0a7401B817972-1777797728726
0xdfb8c9fb7b3fb002e0c379116de0a7401b817972
- Realised P&L
- $-114.35
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $118.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2027 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.187 | 0.235 | $62.92 | +$12.92 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.135 | $49.60 | −$1.84 |
| Will France win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.205 | $5.81 | −$0.14 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$69.62 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.65 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.83 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.83at 0.225Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.43at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
- +$0.31at 0.666Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
- +$-0.11at 0.437Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.65at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 17:20 | Will France win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? | BUY | 0.2099999951 | $5.95 |
| 10-28 17:18 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2027 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1867501731 | $50.00 |
| 10-28 17:16 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.12 | $58.45 |
| 07-31 10:37 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.14 | $119.63 |
| 07-31 10:27 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.011 | $1.57 |
| 07-18 23:09 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.91 | $124.09 |
| 07-05 00:42 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.93 |
| 07-05 00:42 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 05-22 10:27 | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005999997 | $2.00 |
| 05-22 10:26 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.179999997 | $44.00 |
| 05-22 10:26 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.088999998 | $40.00 |
| 05-08 06:47 | Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.83 |
| 05-08 06:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | SELL | 0.16 | $2.50 |
| 05-08 06:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 05-08 06:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | SELL | 0.39 | $4.75 |