Mandryko
0xdfb85425cc6b6554f40daaa9ddebbb0cebed8326
- Realised P&L
- $-470.04
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.54at 0.780US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
- +$24.86at 0.758Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$23.14at 0.729US forces enter Iran by March 7?
- +$20.31at 0.538Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
- +$16.00at 0.840Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 12:59 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.937 | $31.62 |
| 10-05 08:05 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.6221549189 | $21.00 |
| 10-04 21:20 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.1 | $18.49 |
| 10-03 18:56 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.7299999994 | $135.00 |
| 09-21 12:18 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.0109487666 | $0.58 |
| 09-20 19:30 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.36 | $5.04 |
| 09-20 18:27 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.45 | $5.30 |
| 09-18 19:00 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 13:46 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.3599999941 | $17.00 |
| 07-13 08:05 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5949999946 | $20.00 |
| 07-13 07:56 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.55249999 | $24.00 |
| 05-10 19:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL | 0.2 | $12.47 |
| 04-25 17:47 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.99 | $51.08 |
| 04-22 18:47 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.9798201771 | $25.45 |
| 04-21 20:15 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999815 | $20.00 |