PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xdFB2d6Bda19B61Dcd8fCE46A0590999db2BEc37c-1771038927143

0xdfb2d6bda19b61dcd8fce46a0590999db2bec37c

Realised P&L
$-3.7k
Volume
$106.4k
Markets traded
257
Open portfolio
$182.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded257
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Bills (-20.5) · Bills0.5000.325$182.00$98.00
Nuggets vs. Spurs · Spurs0.2920.000$0.00$23.62
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Up0.4790.000$0.00$5.75
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 11? · Yes0.1890.000$0.00$11.33
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? · Yes0.1590.000$0.00$20.00
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 20? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$5.70
Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 22) · Yes0.3350.000$0.00$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on April 14? · Yes0.4880.000$0.00$11.00
Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5 · Over0.2520.000$0.00$7.88
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$15.00
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5) · Cavaliers0.4900.000$0.00$14.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET · Up0.4880.000$0.00$22.47
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines · Connecticut Huskies0.3320.000$0.00$24.04
Spread: Thunder (-5.5) · Spurs0.5200.000$0.00$500.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 01:34Spread: Bills (-20.5)BUY0.5$280.00
09-18 01:33Spread: Bills (-2.5)SELL0.95$292.31
09-17 15:27Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco TrungellitiBUY0.869999998$40.00
09-17 15:23Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco TrungellitiBUY0.8359721189$500.00
09-17 15:17Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco TrungellitiBUY0.758695879$290.88
09-17 15:00Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco TrungellitiBUY0.29$1.45
09-17 14:55Spread: Bills (-2.5)BUY0.6499999994$200.00
08-23 14:11NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?SELL0.02$6.67
08-23 14:11Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETSELL0.14$11.05
08-23 14:07Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.5038529892$20.00
08-23 14:07Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.5099999911$20.00
08-23 14:05Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETSELL0.83$157.28
08-23 14:05Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETBUY0.5399999881$20.00
08-23 14:05Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETBUY0.5399999881$20.00
08-23 14:04Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETBUY0.5405405405$20.00