stable-winner
0xdfae74e98792d986aa36484de45b99441fa7155e
- Realised P&L
- $816.74
- Volume
- $88.1k
- Markets traded
- 3,616
- Open portfolio
- $368.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,616
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orgryte IS vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 9.5 Total Corners · Over | 0.579 | 0.495 | $34.65 | −$5.85 |
| SC Freiburg vs. Crystal Palace: SC Freiburg O/U 3.5 Corners · Over | 0.600 | 0.500 | $25.00 | −$5.00 |
| AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Belleville Senators · Belleville Senators | 0.480 | 1.000 | $19.99 | +$10.39 |
| Senators vs. Ducks · Senators | 0.508 | 0.535 | $16.05 | +$0.80 |
| Paine Lions vs. Jacksonville Dolphins · Jacksonville Dolphins | 0.696 | 0.529 | $15.87 | −$5.02 |
| Bradford City AFC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.400 | 0.505 | $15.65 | +$3.25 |
| Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5) · RC Celta de Vigo | 0.533 | 0.480 | $14.40 | −$1.60 |
| Salamanca CF UDS vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.500 | $10.00 | +$0.60 |
| Club The Strongest vs. GV CD San José: GV CD San José O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.580 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$4.20 |
| Spread: CD Leganés (-1.5) · CD Leganés | 0.530 | 0.640 | $9.60 | +$1.65 |
| Oilers vs. Rangers · Oilers | 0.480 | 0.450 | $9.00 | −$0.60 |
| Kataller Toyama vs. Vegalta Sendai: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.575 | $8.63 | +$1.13 |
| New Mexico United vs. Phoenix Rising FC: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.573 | 0.570 | $8.55 | −$0.05 |
| Clippers vs. Warriors · Warriors | 0.460 | 0.555 | $8.46 | +$1.45 |
| Spread: Al Nassr Club (-1.5) · Al Wasl FC | 0.440 | 0.505 | $7.58 | +$0.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.97at 0.325Cole Palmer: Anytime Goalscorer
- +$53.53at 0.331IFK Goteborg vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
- +$50.28at 0.371Halmstads BK vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
- +$48.15at 0.398Zhangjiagang: Hanyi Liu vs Kaichi Uchida
- +$47.85at 0.402Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:19 | Charlottesville: Alastair Gray vs Valentin Royer | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 11-01 12:10 | Charlottesville: Alastair Gray vs Valentin Royer | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 11-01 12:05 | Charlottesville: Alastair Gray vs Valentin Royer | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 11-01 11:26 | Udvardy vs. Montgomery: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.33 | $4.95 |
| 11-01 11:11 | Spread: KK Vojvodina (-7.5) | BUY | 0.4225 | $8.45 |
| 11-01 11:09 | Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.45 | $6.75 |
| 11-01 10:57 | Spread: Jilin Northeast Tigers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 11-01 10:49 | Spread: Shanghai Sharks (-30.5) | BUY | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 11-01 10:49 | Spread: Liaoning Flying Leopards (-14.5) | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 11-01 10:48 | Spread: Liaoning Flying Leopards (-14.5) | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 10:34 | Spread: Kk Zlatibor (-2.5) | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 11-01 10:34 | Spread: Kk Zlatibor (-2.5) | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 11-01 10:31 | KK Borac Zemun vs. Kk Zlatibor | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 11-01 10:29 | Spread: Kk Zlatibor (-2.5) | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 11-01 10:28 | Spread: Kk Zlatibor (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |