Dennis2756
0xdf9f613c9bbe2722f5855f0c0a540ffc864c58c9
- Realised P&L
- $-18.40
- Volume
- $17.9k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $27.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Atlanta United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $15.61 | +$0.01 |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $7.20 | −$0.00 |
| Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $4.60 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.23at 0.992Will CHEGA win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?
- +$0.20at 0.950Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl LIX by 10-12 points?
- +$0.15at 0.999Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
- +$0.12at 0.950Solana above $200 on February 21?
- +$0.09at 0.997Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 23–30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 01:00 | Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.60 |
| 09-17 10:06 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.20 |
| 09-11 15:55 | Will Atlanta United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.60 |
| 09-10 08:50 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.998 | $3.79 |
| 09-06 10:35 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.00 |
| 09-06 10:34 | Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.09 |
| 09-06 10:33 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.996 | $7.59 |
| 09-06 10:31 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.49 |
| 09-04 19:32 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.00 |
| 09-04 08:09 | Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.10 |
| 08-30 17:43 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.50 |
| 08-30 04:24 | Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.996 | $12.67 |
| 08-27 10:43 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.80 |
| 08-13 05:04 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9969999997 | $7.60 |
| 08-12 07:38 | Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.70 |