isussss
0xdf9e427dd6b0a281bb0f30113f69f78333a7b4ec
- Realised P&L
- $-73.76
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $80.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.035 | $80.58 | −$19.27 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? · No | 0.163 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.96 |
| Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-01? · No | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance · Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.84at 0.893France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance
- +$0.21at 0.965US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 11:12 | Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.044 | $6.27 |
| 09-29 19:46 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.12 | $9.96 |
| 09-29 18:40 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.2 | $19.00 |
| 09-29 18:30 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.965 | $5.79 |
| 07-01 11:31 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.2999999812 | $8.00 |
| 06-30 12:26 | France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.8899999911 | $7.00 |
| 06-30 09:54 | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 20:46 | Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 20:44 | Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $20.00 |