Harculish
0xdf98847669e7944a43182527da6832976a883b36
- Realised P&L
- $-373.14
- Volume
- $8.9k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $365.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.785 | $197.89 | −$1.26 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11? · Up | 0.626 | 0.835 | $167.87 | +$42.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.19at 0.590Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
- +$12.63at 0.191Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
- +$12.10at 0.857Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
- +$8.53at 0.708Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
- +$5.96at 0.895Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 12:08 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.7899999994 | $199.15 |
| 10-11 11:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11? | BUY | 0.6259730791 | $125.85 |
| 10-11 11:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11? | SELL | 0.3917552947 | $136.14 |
| 10-11 07:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11? | BUY | 0.5320004256 | $184.88 |
| 10-11 07:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11? | SELL | 0.5115368653 | $199.67 |
| 10-11 07:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11? | BUY | 0.4944585089 | $193.01 |
| 10-11 07:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | SELL | 0.95 | $96.94 |
| 10-11 07:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $100.00 |
| 10-11 07:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $104.34 |
| 10-11 07:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 10-11 07:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | SELL | 0.979 | $27.19 |
| 10-11 07:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | BUY | 0.8999999928 | $25.00 |
| 10-11 07:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $25.00 |
| 10-11 06:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $25.00 |
| 10-11 06:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | SELL | 0.92 | $5.41 |