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Traders

ToTheWindow

0xdf903ee52261f475ee5a02f9189acdb7cdba41f0

Realised P&L
$33.1k
Volume
$1.66M
Markets traded
385
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded385
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026? · No0.8040.885$833.79+$75.89
Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026? · No0.6120.860$372.53+$107.35
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31? · No0.7030.885$185.30+$38.05
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? · No0.6570.660$133.97+$0.58
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes0.6350.570$89.74$10.27
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? · Yes0.1420.115$64.76$15.28
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? · Yes0.1900.200$52.63+$2.63
Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30? · Yes0.2010.090$47.34$58.53
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30? · Yes0.1250.031$42.48$128.27
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2130.110$34.10$32.00
Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? · Yes0.1280.115$33.33$3.67
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? · No0.4800.690$31.19+$9.49
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? · No0.8360.926$26.86+$2.61
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes0.0890.012$25.82$166.07
Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026? · No0.4840.610$23.72+$4.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 02:25Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.0170621645$2.00
09-23 00:58Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?BUY0.89$400.00
09-23 00:28Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.6352054691$100.00
09-23 00:28Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.019$4.00
09-22 21:17Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?BUY0.48$21.70
09-22 20:59Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6667626538$100.00
09-22 20:58Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?BUY0.49$9.80
09-22 20:57Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?BUY0.4839958858$18.82
09-22 20:12Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by September 30, 2026?SELL0.0753277618$14.42
09-22 19:44Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?BUY0.007$3.85
09-22 19:42Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?SELL0.09$5.85
09-22 19:35Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?BUY0.009$15.30
09-22 19:34Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0059251969$2.18
09-22 19:34Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0042029592$5.00
09-22 19:30Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0083333333$5.00
Trader ToTheWindow · PolyBot Pro