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Traders

Mikelious

0xdf901733630ac14af76494073d91b31c4fae5637

Realised P&L
$-177.40
Volume
$160.1k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$396.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.3420.245$356.61$141.39
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1150.063$27.28$22.72
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No0.1180.018$9.81$54.69
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1000.085$2.98$0.53
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 29, 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$15.00
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$20.00
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance · Portugal0.3300.000$0.00$26.40
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway0.3500.000$0.00$26.25
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.0570.000$0.00$25.00
Iran closes its airspace by May 18? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$5.00
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026? · No0.0030.000$0.00$5.00
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? · No0.0260.000$0.00$15.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$9.08
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026? · No0.0090.000$0.00$25.68
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? · No0.0500.000$0.00$1.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 21:43Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.1$3.50
09-10 18:37Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.3421426729$498.00
09-09 18:11Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.302269088$502.00
09-07 23:11Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.0379999999$15.00
09-07 10:31Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1145493742$50.00
09-06 07:21Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.33$34.76
09-03 19:46Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.0258380797$15.00
08-26 09:06Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?SELL0.51$12.75
08-26 08:07Iran full airspace closure by December 31?SELL0.1688794187$189.42
08-26 08:06Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.540635381$165.69
08-21 10:24Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.31$1.55
08-17 12:45Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.3549727936$558.18
08-17 10:50Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?SELL0.0271848$13.59
08-17 10:50Iran full airspace closure by September 30?SELL0.14$544.59
08-12 17:02Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.1830834798$3.96