dadapera
0xdf877fb8f28ac050cae31a6ccf9096c1f8172955
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $86.8k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $15.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? · Yes | 0.534 | 0.085 | $15.90 | −$84.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$420.04at 0.152Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?
- +$372.00at 0.380Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$175.94at 0.910Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$159.60at 0.600US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$158.70at 0.470US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 14:16 | US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? | BUY | 0.5344528428 | $100.00 |
| 05-08 14:06 | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? | SELL | 0.0387402333 | $3.62 |
| 05-07 14:52 | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? | BUY | 0.5351515249 | $50.00 |
| 05-07 14:46 | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | SELL | 0.9810778421 | $484.48 |
| 05-05 15:24 | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $200.00 |
| 05-05 15:24 | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $200.00 |
| 03-04 17:32 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $480.00 |
| 03-03 08:43 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.77 | $308.00 |
| 03-02 21:04 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.35 | $2.92 |
| 03-02 14:39 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.4 | $85.00 |
| 03-02 14:23 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | SELL | 0.61 | $244.00 |
| 02-28 15:00 | Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | BUY | 0.939999997 | $200.00 |
| 02-28 09:08 | US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 02-28 09:07 | US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $299.69 |
| 02-28 09:07 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $399.60 |