davt
0xdf845c4b56d86f130ee75598ef9d5aceb28b0c5e
- Realised P&L
- $-110.74
- Volume
- $62.5k
- Markets traded
- 743
- Open portfolio
- $59.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded743
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.73at 0.364Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6PM ET
- +$80.65at 0.334Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10AM ET
- +$73.97at 0.447Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
- +$55.75at 0.086Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$52.62at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 07:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 07:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | SELL | 0.61 | $10.70 |
| 09-17 07:07 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $18.66 |
| 09-17 07:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | SELL | 0.92 | $18.12 |
| 09-17 06:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0065075922 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 06:58 | Honor of Kings: SYGaming vs UU Gamers (BO7) - King Pro League Promotion | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 06:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5075737877 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 06:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 06:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 06:33 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.1394282333 | $83.66 |
| 09-16 22:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 21:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 13:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2199999901 | $4.00 |
| 09-16 13:08 | Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.0584667673 | $5.00 |