Ihavenomoneyleft.
0xdf828d6533b38bf2e2ca45bcdd2bcf5f00fba983
- Realised P&L
- $97.63
- Volume
- $20.5k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $239.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $79.68 | −$0.24 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $69.83 | −$0.10 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $65.70 | −$0.23 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.989 | 0.953 | $23.96 | −$0.93 |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.987 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$78.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.75at 0.971Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$22.68at 0.972Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$16.30at 0.970Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 Week of May 4 2026?
- +$14.52at 0.983Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
- +$12.09at 0.959Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 06:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $65.93 |
| 10-13 06:07 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $69.93 |
| 10-13 06:06 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-13 06:06 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $5.99 |
| 10-13 06:06 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $9.00 |
| 10-13 06:04 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $79.92 |
| 10-08 10:54 | Will Solana dip to $50 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 10-08 10:53 | Will Solana reach $190 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $389.50 |
| 09-21 07:00 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $186.86 |
| 09-21 06:37 | Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $66.34 |
| 09-21 06:33 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.993 | $296.29 |
| 09-12 00:04 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 09-12 00:04 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $25.40 |
| 09-12 00:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 09-11 23:59 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 14 – Sep 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $18.71 |