Ihavenomoneyleft.
0xdf828d6533b38bf2e2ca45bcdd2bcf5f00fba983
- Realised P&L
- $25.59
- Volume
- $15.9k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $803.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $1.00? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.906 | $516.36 | −$52.64 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.959 | 0.975 | $287.47 | +$4.57 |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.987 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$78.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.75at 0.971Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$22.68at 0.972Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$16.96at 0.969Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 Week of May 4 2026?
- +$14.52at 0.983Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
- +$6.16at 0.960Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 04:55 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $1.00? | BUY | 0.9989209991 | $569.00 |
| 08-05 06:41 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 3 above $40? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-05 06:38 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $309.69 |
| 08-05 06:38 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $39.92 |
| 08-05 06:35 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of August 3 above $170? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 08-05 06:11 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $80? | BUY | 0.99 | $69.30 |
| 08-05 06:02 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 3 above $130? | BUY | 0.999 | $55.94 |
| 07-25 10:00 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.70 |
| 07-25 10:00 | Will Chainlink reach $14 in July? | BUY | 0.996 | $100.60 |
| 07-25 09:59 | Will XRP reach $2.00 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $115.77 |
| 07-23 02:24 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of July 20 above $1.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $151.85 |
| 07-23 02:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 Week of July 20 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $90.28 |
| 07-19 12:27 | Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9987084619 | $188.00 |
| 07-19 12:22 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of July 20 above $100? | BUY | 0.996 | $61.75 |
| 07-17 01:28 | Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $59.94 |