PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gfafasgs

0xdf804b17329a461425116c9e0f599e248b443259

Realised P&L
$239.4k
Volume
$17.90M
Markets traded
1,572
Open portfolio
$57.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,572
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9840.993$55.1k+$489.20
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8870.949$2.1k+$136.65
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card) · Daniel Santos0.6550.000$0.00$7.8k
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-09-06? · No0.6820.000$0.00$1.5k
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-08-01? · No0.7300.000$0.00$38.60
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under0.5430.000$0.00$6.0k
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over0.5620.000$0.00$8.5k
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 · Over0.0100.000$0.00$99.98
1. FC Phönix Lübeck vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 5.5 · Under0.0900.000$0.00$404.52
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 2 Winner · INTZ e-Sports0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: O/U 1.5 · Over0.6800.000$0.00$3.40
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner · Aurora Gaming0.5360.000$0.00$6.0k
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$463.45
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-07-23? · No0.3900.000$0.00$137.14
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-23? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$428.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 20:34Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 3 WinnerBUY0.87$1.1k
09-23 20:34Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 3 WinnerBUY0.8586682896$190.47
09-23 20:34Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 3 WinnerBUY0.8655491449$4.8k
09-23 20:31Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 3 WinnerBUY0.5006787421$497.55
09-23 20:24Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 3 WinnerBUY0.8$734.94
09-23 20:24Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 3 WinnerBUY0.82$1.8k
09-23 20:24Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 3 WinnerBUY0.82$1.8k
09-23 20:22Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 3 WinnerBUY0.79$158.00
09-23 20:21Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 3 WinnerBUY0.66$79.42
09-23 19:09Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.29$34.33
09-23 19:09Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.2896398198$160.75
09-23 19:01Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.51$52.04
09-23 18:52Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.8199126462$938.61
09-23 18:14Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.68$782.67
09-22 23:22Dana White's Contender Series: Damian Piwowarczyk vs. Emilio Quissua (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.0323145646$21.52