Stronge
0xdf7d805c45a4cc9af3b9d90f562f35df974b00f9
- Realised P&L
- $-25.50
- Volume
- $11.8k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $8.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.995 | 0.994 | $8.60 | −$0.01 |
| Jazz vs. Mavericks · Jazz | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.72at 0.730Nuggets vs. Thunder
- +$0.02at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will Solana dip to $30 April 20-26?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 16?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 05:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9949999232 | $8.61 |
| 07-13 02:01 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $8.25 |
| 06-15 08:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.78 |
| 06-15 08:06 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $13.08 |
| 05-26 02:37 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.994 | $13.10 |
| 04-22 08:23 | Will Solana dip to $30 April 20-26? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.24 |
| 04-14 06:59 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.51 |
| 03-14 05:27 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.991 | $16.56 |
| 03-03 01:57 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9909999998 | $16.56 |
| 02-27 08:41 | Nuggets vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.7299998747 | $4.66 |
| 01-19 07:51 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.015 | $1.50 |
| 01-17 08:06 | Jazz vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.39 | $19.50 |
| 01-17 07:59 | Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.997 | $364.23 |
| 01-17 05:35 | Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.999 | $364.97 |
| 01-17 05:30 | Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.998 | $379.62 |