0xdf7b39d70add4ca4a8ed6845935384142dd97fae
0xdf7b39d70add4ca4a8ed6845935384142dd97fae
- Realised P&L
- $17.58
- Volume
- $126.26
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $28.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · Yes | 0.992 | 0.982 | $9.90 | −$0.10 |
| Hawai'i vs. Wyoming · Wyoming | 0.436 | 0.425 | $4.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? · No | 0.755 | 0.765 | $4.05 | +$0.05 |
| San Diego State vs. Toledo: O/U 50.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.475 | $3.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.770 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · No | 0.620 | 0.615 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners · No | 0.560 | 0.550 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Oregon State vs. UTEP: O/U 55.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.495 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Tulsa vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.485 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.02at 0.438Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- +$2.68at 0.436Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
- +$2.57at 0.826Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?
- +$2.47at 0.457Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- +$0.82at 0.558Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 21:06 | Hawai'i vs. Wyoming | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 21:05 | Hawai'i vs. Wyoming | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 21:05 | Hawai'i vs. Wyoming | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 21:05 | Hawai'i vs. Wyoming | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 21:05 | Hawai'i vs. Wyoming | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:25 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 18:57 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 18:33 | Oregon State vs. UTEP: O/U 55.5 | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 18:30 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.984 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 18:25 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 18:19 | Tulsa vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 18:17 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 17:59 | San Diego State vs. Toledo: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 17:59 | San Diego State vs. Toledo: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 17:59 | San Diego State vs. Toledo: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |