PolyBot

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Traders

0xdf7b39d70add4ca4a8ed6845935384142dd97fae

0xdf7b39d70add4ca4a8ed6845935384142dd97fae

Realised P&L
$17.58
Volume
$126.26
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$28.76

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar13.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration68.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · Yes0.9920.982$9.90−$0.10
Hawai'i vs. Wyoming · Wyoming0.4360.425$4.87−$0.13
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? · No0.7550.765$4.05+$0.05
San Diego State vs. Toledo: O/U 50.5 · Under0.4800.475$3.96−$0.04
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7500.770$2.05+$0.05
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · No0.6200.615$0.99−$0.01
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners · No0.5600.550$0.98−$0.02
Oregon State vs. UTEP: O/U 55.5 · Under0.5100.495$0.97−$0.03
Tulsa vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 · Over0.5000.485$0.97−$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 21:06Hawai'i vs. WyomingBUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-24 21:05Hawai'i vs. WyomingBUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-24 21:05Hawai'i vs. WyomingBUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-24 21:05Hawai'i vs. WyomingBUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-24 21:05Hawai'i vs. WyomingBUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-24 19:25Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.995$2.00
09-24 18:57Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5BUY0.5399999568$1.00
09-24 18:33Oregon State vs. UTEP: O/U 55.5BUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-24 18:30Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.984$2.00
09-24 18:25Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.997$2.00
09-24 18:19Tulsa vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5BUY0.5$1.00
09-24 18:17Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.7599999848$2.00
09-24 17:59San Diego State vs. Toledo: O/U 50.5BUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-24 17:59San Diego State vs. Toledo: O/U 50.5BUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-24 17:59San Diego State vs. Toledo: O/U 50.5BUY0.4799998464$1.00