Keegans
0xdf7a3587f29511938c4b6dc1ca03069e3014971a
- Realised P&L
- $-256.98
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $16.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.45at 0.110Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
- +$21.91at 0.321Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-08-22?
- +$20.31at 0.337Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
- +$18.25at 0.361Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-08-22?
- +$16.71at 0.382Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 18:59 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6309999418 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 19:12 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 19:11 | Will the New York Giants make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 12:19 | Will Liam Lawson finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0299981563 | $9.00 |
| 09-13 12:16 | Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 09:51 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.584999969 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 09:50 | Brisbane Lions vs. Adelaide Crows | BUY | 0.3193548181 | $3.00 |
| 09-12 09:44 | Will Myles Garrett win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | SELL | 0.14 | $25.45 |
| 09-08 15:35 | Will Myles Garrett win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.2199999998 | $40.00 |
| 09-08 15:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 5? | SELL | 0.4597959184 | $5.41 |
| 09-05 13:55 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 5? | BUY | 0.5099999966 | $6.00 |
| 09-03 15:39 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 3? | SELL | 0.5 | $5.66 |
| 09-03 14:43 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 3? | SELL | 0.19 | $8.14 |
| 09-03 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on September 4? | SELL | 0.2322956841 | $5.06 |