PolyBot

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Traders

Pablito112

0xdf755a086a8355ccffd630d00e9692cfa4bc29c6

Realised P&L
$-5.0k
Volume
$193.7k
Markets traded
124
Open portfolio
$760.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded124
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1240.095$551.03−$168.99
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.017$165.00−$735.00
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2100.044$44.50−$165.50
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? · No0.7100.000$0.00−$710.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.6400.000$0.00−$960.00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? · No0.4500.000$0.00−$450.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 00:19Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.15$120.05
06-23 07:39Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$900.00
06-15 08:52Israel closes its airspace by June 30?SELL0.94$0.58
05-04 15:31US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?SELL0.005$5.00
01-22 22:59Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?BUY0.9149241138$120.57
01-22 22:59Will Solana dip to $110 in January?BUY0.8894152936$75.00
12-27 23:15Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?SELL0.93$152.52
12-27 23:15Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?SELL0.87$183.57
10-22 19:06Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?BUY0.9469999574$20.86
10-08 20:59Will Bitcoin dip to $116,000 October 6-12?BUY0.9399999807$29.19
10-08 20:59Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?BUY0.8$35.00
10-01 07:31Will Solana dip to $190 September 29-October 5?BUY0.8099999994$51.99
08-21 22:19Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?BUY0.4399999962$23.13
07-25 21:11Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?SELL0.951$552.56
07-16 01:30Will John Wasnock win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?BUY0.1$20.09