bowmanlinda
0xdf70fc1f43ff01c0e9b5358f8e88cf41ddb6edd7
- Realised P&L
- $11.56
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $16.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 28? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.916 | $16.67 | +$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.10at 0.550Will AfD win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?
- +$7.69at 0.770Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?
- +$4.64at 0.877Will Trump issue 20-24 executive orders on Day 1?
- +$0.39at 0.720Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
- +$0.26at 0.993Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 21:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 28? | BUY | 0.9099999599 | $16.56 |
| 01-31 14:09 | Will Solana dip to $90 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.67 |
| 01-31 13:23 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.34 |
| 01-30 16:19 | Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $12.02 |
| 01-30 15:53 | Will Ethena hit $0.37 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.56 |
| 01-30 15:09 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999786 | $20.54 |
| 01-30 12:17 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9980309979 | $58.76 |
| 12-30 11:28 | Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989998975 | $7.25 |
| 12-30 11:16 | Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.45 |
| 12-30 10:54 | Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.08 |
| 12-30 09:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.30 |
| 12-30 00:14 | Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999765 | $31.75 |
| 12-29 23:07 | Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $36.26 |
| 12-29 21:27 | Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.96 |
| 10-30 20:27 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.89 |