ikickbabies
0xdf6f85ff51133209764fe15147d41f8cb808f6ee
- Realised P&L
- $11.8k
- Volume
- $602.9k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.033 | $1.0k | +$483.84 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.335 | $669.99 | −$430.00 |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.004 | $428.33 | −$1.0k |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$949.66 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.321 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.8k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.470US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.5kat 0.452US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.773Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$1.6kat 0.610US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$1.3kat 0.455US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 20:00 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $1.4k |
| 08-11 00:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.3k |
| 06-13 13:39 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.2k |
| 06-13 13:39 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.6k |
| 05-08 15:51 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $1.3k |
| 05-08 15:03 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $14.89 |
| 05-08 14:07 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $713.27 |
| 05-08 09:36 | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY | 0.973 | $3.0k |
| 05-06 09:41 | Iran closes its airspace by May 6? | BUY | 0.996 | $115.78 |
| 05-06 08:55 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.9648478299 | $6.1k |
| 05-04 15:29 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.961 | $705.73 |
| 05-04 15:29 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.3k |
| 04-17 13:43 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.989 | $5.5k |
| 04-16 08:48 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.5k |
| 04-15 02:20 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $345.80 |