free13
0xdf6633c0dc16fc6cda5118cb4f43df43438bfd0d
- Realised P&L
- $-15.92
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $89.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.891 | 0.845 | $89.19 | −$4.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.82at 0.400Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30?
- +$4.40at 0.770Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29?
- +$2.40at 0.975Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 30?
- +$1.50at 0.870Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30?
- +$1.16at 0.390Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 09-30 22:51 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.61 |
| 09-30 22:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.05 |
| 09-30 21:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.89 | $84.99 |
| 09-30 21:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:40 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $51.44 |
| 09-30 10:40 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-30 07:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.3879999981 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 05:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.947345 | $18.95 |
| 09-30 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.008269 | $0.17 |
| 09-29 06:40 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 09-29 03:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.1783882897 | $5.79 |
| 09-28 06:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.0474712644 | $1.57 |
| 09-28 05:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.78 |
| 09-28 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.41 | $4.10 |