samgau
0xdf627b55bbc6bc208d15b1190180a642dd43d923
- Realised P&L
- $-44.1k
- Volume
- $241.5k
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $41.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-18.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.6kat 0.060Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.100Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in January?
- +$1.3kat 0.650Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?
- +$52.79at 0.451Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$3.25at 0.756South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 13:01 | Will Solana dip to $70 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.37 |
| 10-01 13:01 | Will Solana reach $190 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.37 |
| 10-01 13:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.05 |
| 10-01 13:00 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.66 |
| 10-01 13:00 | Will Ethereum reach $3,300 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.67 |
| 10-01 13:00 | Will Ethereum reach $3,400 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.21 |
| 10-01 13:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.67 |
| 10-01 13:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9939999312 | $2.37 |
| 10-01 13:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.996 | $2.37 |
| 10-01 13:00 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on October 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.23 |
| 10-01 13:00 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.67 |
| 10-01 13:00 | Will the price of Solana be above $125 on October 1? | BUY | 0.9929999997 | $3.12 |
| 10-01 13:00 | Will the price of Solana be above $130 on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.22 |
| 10-01 13:00 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.22 |
| 10-01 13:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 1? | BUY | 0.9879999974 | $3.02 |