2100m
0xdf5fedac69ecf790b97c4be506aab7181eeaa1e3
- Realised P&L
- $2.6k
- Volume
- $1.24M
- Markets traded
- 179
- Open portfolio
- $7.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded179
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? · No | 0.897 | 0.935 | $4.3k | +$171.19 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.722 | 0.836 | $1.2k | +$157.61 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.924 | 0.958 | $1.1k | +$38.38 |
| Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.906 | 0.969 | $572.75 | +$36.70 |
| Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.954 | $495.76 | +$7.28 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.955 | 0.950 | $184.30 | −$0.97 |
| Will Zcash dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.958 | $130.69 | +$1.02 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$964.24at 0.994Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?
- +$181.34at 0.941Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- +$169.72at 0.986Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
- +$143.10at 0.986Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
- +$136.61at 0.892Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 05:38 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.955 | $185.27 |
| 10-30 01:49 | Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9689714286 | $339.14 |
| 10-30 01:48 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.962 | $3.3k |
| 10-29 11:39 | Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9 | $3.9k |
| 10-29 11:39 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.965 | $4.0k |
| 10-28 13:18 | Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9493243243 | $281.00 |
| 10-28 13:18 | Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9688536695 | $279.34 |
| 10-21 23:20 | Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.88 | $78.94 |
| 10-21 23:18 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6899808038 | $1.1k |
| 10-21 23:18 | Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.84 | $163.70 |
| 10-21 23:18 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.9687606384 | $1.7k |
| 10-21 09:38 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.794 | $552.39 |
| 10-21 09:36 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | SELL | 0.8822562161 | $172.45 |
| 10-21 09:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.967 | $389.93 |
| 10-09 07:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.957 | $385.90 |