PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

2100m

0xdf5fedac69ecf790b97c4be506aab7181eeaa1e3

Realised P&L
$2.6k
Volume
$1.24M
Markets traded
179
Open portfolio
$7.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded179
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? · No0.8970.935$4.3k+$171.19
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.7220.836$1.2k+$157.61
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9240.958$1.1k+$38.38
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9060.969$572.75+$36.70
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.954$495.76+$7.28
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.9550.950$184.30−$0.97
Will Zcash dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.958$130.69+$1.02
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.6000.000$0.00−$14.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 05:38Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.955$185.27
10-30 01:49Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.9689714286$339.14
10-30 01:48Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.962$3.3k
10-29 11:39Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?BUY0.9$3.9k
10-29 11:39Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.965$4.0k
10-28 13:18Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.9493243243$281.00
10-28 13:18Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9688536695$279.34
10-21 23:20Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.88$78.94
10-21 23:18Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.6899808038$1.1k
10-21 23:18Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?BUY0.84$163.70
10-21 23:18Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.9687606384$1.7k
10-21 09:38Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.794$552.39
10-21 09:36Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?SELL0.8822562161$172.45
10-21 09:35Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.967$389.93
10-09 07:20Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.957$385.90