PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BigBetsBonanza

0xdf51f4dba5ee71f0bbc979d1ae8d4e67eeb91210

Realised P&L
$-904.35
Volume
$52.2k
Markets traded
193
Open portfolio
$558.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded193
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0670.165$415.51+$246.93
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · Yes0.6520.695$122.52+$7.52
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7800.895$17.90+$2.30
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0160.002$2.05$19.51
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.2140.001$0.02$8.53
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-07-29? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00$1.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.5200.000$0.00$10.00
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$20.00
Kash Patel out by June 30? · Yes0.5750.000$0.00$21.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 02:52Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.023$27.15
09-11 02:51Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.012$6.00
09-11 02:51Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.026$23.64
09-11 02:51Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.143$5.81
08-11 11:35Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?BUY0.63$3.15
07-29 11:33Will Tottenham Hotspur vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?SELL0.99$7.00
07-29 11:23Will Tottenham Hotspur vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?BUY0.5699998233$1.00
07-29 11:17Will Sydney FC win on 2026-07-29?BUY0.0975124477$1.00
07-29 11:11Will Tottenham Hotspur vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
07-29 11:02Will Tottenham Hotspur vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?BUY0.33999983$1.00
07-11 02:34Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.5899999894$20.00
07-09 10:57Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.0230498746$27.21
07-08 12:20Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1319999899$10.00
07-06 23:18Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.45$16.60
07-06 22:05Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.45$16.59