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Traders

0xdF480Fd461C0727f6634a39de731665d17531751-1772962035638

0xdf480fd461c0727f6634a39de731665d17531751

Realised P&L
$-742.15
Volume
$106.4k
Markets traded
2,801
Open portfolio
$53.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,801
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8800.925$18.50+$0.90
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5500.365$14.60$7.40
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? · No0.7800.933$11.20+$1.84
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? · No0.4200.120$3.99$9.97
Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election? · No0.6200.958$2.25+$0.79
Will the Bills win the season series against the Dolphins during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.5400.720$2.12+$0.53
Will Frank Klingebiel win the next Salzgitter mayoral election? · Yes0.5100.973$0.97+$0.46
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 27? · No0.0500.000$0.00$2.00
Will Raul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat win the special election to fill the Cavite 4th congressional district seat in the Philippine House of Representatives? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$7.51
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega · Dragon Ranger Gaming0.6400.000$0.00$3.20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.2520.000$0.00$101.00
Valorant: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega · GIANTX0.3500.000$0.00$1.75
Over $80M committed to the Credible public sale? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$0.80
Will Yordan Alvarez record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game? · No0.8640.000$0.00$17.28
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5) · Trace Esports0.4700.000$0.00$2.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 19:05Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?SELL0.37$14.80
07-27 17:48Will Trump say "USMCA" or "NAFTA" during Michigan remarks?SELL0.67$30.15
07-27 15:06Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?SELL0.163$8.15
07-27 11:08Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Michigan remarks?SELL0.28$14.00
07-27 10:54Will Airbnb (ABNB) Q2 gross booking value be above $26.7B?SELL0.33$5.12
07-27 10:20Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?SELL0.35$11.90
07-27 09:12Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?SELL0.23$9.20
07-27 07:26Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?SELL0.4$14.14
07-27 06:07Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?SELL0.23$9.20
07-27 06:01Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?SELL0.32$5.25
07-27 04:59Will Abdul El-Sayed win Kent County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?SELL0.29$6.31
07-27 04:38Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?SELL0.36$0.42
07-27 04:37Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?SELL0.39$11.63
07-27 04:18Will Steve Morgan be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?SELL0.01$0.14
07-27 03:59Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election?SELL0.44$6.16
Trader 0xdF480Fd461C0727f6634a39de731665d17531751-1772962035638 · PolyBot Pro