0xdF480Fd461C0727f6634a39de731665d17531751-1772962035638
0xdf480fd461c0727f6634a39de731665d17531751
- Realised P&L
- $-742.15
- Volume
- $106.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,801
- Open portfolio
- $53.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,801
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.80at 0.390Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 21?
- +$35.87at 0.642Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
- +$23.20at 0.568Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
- +$19.25at 0.644Solana Up or Down - April 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
- +$19.08at 0.647Solana Up or Down - April 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 19:05 | Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%? | SELL | 0.37 | $14.80 |
| 07-27 17:48 | Will Trump say "USMCA" or "NAFTA" during Michigan remarks? | SELL | 0.67 | $30.15 |
| 07-27 15:06 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? | SELL | 0.163 | $8.15 |
| 07-27 11:08 | Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Michigan remarks? | SELL | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 07-27 10:54 | Will Airbnb (ABNB) Q2 gross booking value be above $26.7B? | SELL | 0.33 | $5.12 |
| 07-27 10:20 | Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $11.90 |
| 07-27 09:12 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m? | SELL | 0.23 | $9.20 |
| 07-27 07:26 | Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.4 | $14.14 |
| 07-27 06:07 | Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election? | SELL | 0.23 | $9.20 |
| 07-27 06:01 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31? | SELL | 0.32 | $5.25 |
| 07-27 04:59 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Kent County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | SELL | 0.29 | $6.31 |
| 07-27 04:38 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31? | SELL | 0.36 | $0.42 |
| 07-27 04:37 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31? | SELL | 0.39 | $11.63 |
| 07-27 04:18 | Will Steve Morgan be the FL-06 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.14 |
| 07-27 03:59 | Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election? | SELL | 0.44 | $6.16 |