PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Lukerramsden

0xdf4250bab3f4f2f296d05ce8f941360e58d848fe

Realised P&L
$0.00
Volume
$876.45
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$81.72

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration63.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0970.100$51.45+$1.45
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.1200.085$21.25−$8.75
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.1000.055$5.50−$4.50
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.4200.295$3.51−$1.49

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 17:15Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.1$10.00
10-12 17:14Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4199999966$5.00
10-12 17:09Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0971731448$50.00
10-12 17:08US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.12$30.00