Lukerramsden
0xdf4250bab3f4f2f296d05ce8f941360e58d848fe
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $876.45
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $81.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration63.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.100 | $51.45 | +$1.45 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.085 | $21.25 | −$8.75 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.100 | 0.055 | $5.50 | −$4.50 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.420 | 0.295 | $3.51 | −$1.49 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 17:15 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 17:14 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 17:09 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0971731448 | $50.00 |
| 10-12 17:08 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $30.00 |