taxfreethai
0xdf3c9ce77478c248452a9a3cce9a967be5da3aed
- Realised P&L
- $-9.99
- Volume
- $870.37
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $16.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.71at 0.288Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
- +$8.22at 0.649S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 2?
- +$7.95at 0.205Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
- +$6.97at 0.592Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
- +$5.48at 0.649S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 12:27 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.9299999975 | $15.00 |
| 09-28 05:23 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 28? | BUY | 0.1809523741 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:23 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 28? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 06:43 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 08:00 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 05:32 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 05:30 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 19:07 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.5849999789 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 05:40 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 05:39 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 2? | BUY | 0.64 | $15.00 |
| 07-01 06:07 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 1? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 05:55 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 1? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 05:55 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 1? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 06:41 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 06:32 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 30? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |